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Friday, December 13, 2019

THE CONFIRMATION BIAS IS AT EPIDEMIC LEVELS!



 The confirmation bias is at epidemic levels


How many times have we listened to politicians make such ridiculous comments even the village idiot wouldn’t believe? Day after day we sit shaking our heads in disbelief. How can anyone believe crying children taken from their parents at the border are actors”. But they do.

Just take a minute to visualize that. Consider babies from a couple months old to three or four-years old, listening to a producer give them directions. “OK, listen up! One and two-year old’s, remember to cry ‘mi mama’ because it sounds more Mexican. And three-year old’s, you must cry a little louder and throw a little more dirt on your face for the camera to see. Now take seventeen! ACTION!” Does that now sound ridiculous?

At first thought, we are convinced those believers are somewhere beyond stupid. Although some simply understand they are listening to lies and go along with them, many truly believe the lie du jour. The reality is those who believe those crazy things are not stupid. I have heard those with a PHD who didn’t know that the “Caravan” is made up of those seeking asylum, although this was well reported and confirmed. They are very intelligent people. However, they are victims of a disease sweeping the country. They are victims of the confirmation bias.
 
According to Science Daily “Confirmation bias is a phenomenon wherein decision makers have been shown to actively seek out and assign more weight to evidence that confirms their hypothesis or ignore or under weigh evidence that could disconfirm that hypothesis”. This is understandable to a degree, but when this President is said to have lied or deceived over 10,000 times and when his echo chamber tops that number, one would think that more people would catch on. But yet the deception continues while we continue to shake our heads in disbelief.

Why does this “bias” have so much power. This bias is not only strengthened by the comfort it gives but by those who surround the believer. When a lie comes down, no matter how ridiculous, as long as it is supported by their favorite cable news network, by the select friends they talk too combined with their effort to ignore a variety of news sources, they will continue to believe.

This lends the question, where does this begin and how can it be changed?  Looking back in history, the conning of the American people by politicians has gone on for decades if not centuries. What are the solutions? One belief holds that if we didn’t expect politicians to be perfectly aligned to our thoughts, they wouldn’t have to lie. No politician can ever be in agreement with all citizens and no citizen should expect perfection. All citizens should be encouraged to rise above the confirmation bias and embrace critical thinking, choosing the issues that are closest to them while developing a willingness to compromise on others.

The problem, however, goes much deeper. In school, children are taught to respond to a standardized test and give the answers the test wants. Even worse, students must respond to the textbook and the chapter test simply regurgitating the answers they were given. As schools shift more to the “teach to the test” mentality, they move away from those projects that encourage children to think, analyze and come up with their own answers and then debate them with others.

A shift in the fundamental system and philosophy of education would not only have a strong effect on the students but could easily trickle up to adults.  When they talk politics at home, the child could easily pass on what they are doing in school. Maybe it is time for the children to teach the adults. Children, when at home, show your family you can think beyond the confirmation bias.  Show them what it looks like.

At the recent impeachment hearings lies abound.  The secret is to question everything.  For example, Did Vice President go to Ukraine to help get rid of Prosecutor General Shokin?  Was that Biden’s position or the position of the U.S. Government, the European Union and international financial positions?  Did Burisma play any role in Biden’s efforts?  Was there an investigation going on at that time?
I won’t answer these, that is the readers job.  

The point is DON’T BELIEVE ANYTHING! QUESTION EVERYTHING! 

Everything you read or hear could impact your vote.  Russian ads changed votes, that’s why politicians put millions of dollars into them.
Remember, everyone has a confirmation bias.  I work hard to rise above mine.  You must work hard to rise above yours.  It is time to , stop the epidemic!

Go to www.wholechildreform.com for my book STOP POLITICALLY DRIVEN EDUCATION to see how we have been diminishing thinking in schools and how we can change the system so students can THINK WHILE IT IS STILL LEGAL!



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